Coromandel flooding causes traffic chaos

Weatherwatch.co.nz,  Sunday,  29 Dec 2013.

Travellers are being urged to avoid the east coast of the Coromandel as heavy rain has brought flooding to many coastal communities, police say.

Overnight heavy rain, which was still continuing, had resulted in several areas being flooded and a number of slips, officer in charge of Thames-Coromandel road policing Sergeant Jim Corbett said.

Some campgrounds have been evacuated.

“Flooding has been reported in Tairua, Pauanui and Matarangi, Whitianga and a number of other locations with camping grounds at Opoutere and Cooks Beach flooded.

More: http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/coromandel-flooding-causes-traffic-chaos

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2 Responses to Coromandel flooding causes traffic chaos

  1. kenmoonman says:

    Let’s get honest here. On Sun, 1 Dec 2013 in the NZ Herald and World Online news, in an article entitled “Cool start to summer but Xmas outlook fine”, Weather Watch said “Santa is expected to gift sunny skies to much of New Zealand on Christmas Day”. Philip Duncan said..”the days around December 25 would more likely be dry than rainy..I’d say the chances are stacked against the rainmakers rather than for them”.
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11165176&ref=rss

    The Herald article continued with a rebuttal by me of their prediction of good weather around the statutory holiday period: “Controversial Moon Man Ken Ring has predicted cloudy, scattered showers for Auckland in his annual almanac, and reaffirmed these predictions this week. “The best time for holidays is probably December 8-20, and January 6-19.”
    My forecast was made from nearly three years away. I further tweeted warnings twice that campers would be sent home; in November:

    “Xmas ..a washout for campers” and in December a week before Xmas: https://twitter.com/kenringweather/status/413298493365555201 “Skies open up, a Xmas Day spoiler”

    My method is simple: the air tide caused by the moon is infinitely measurable and 80-85% of the time predictably repeats on cue. It means 20% of the time one may be incorrect, but accuracy of more than three quarters is good for making future plans around. Meteorologists could develop similar methodology for looking ahead more than 10 days but won’t. What is stopping them? But to issue a longrange forecast 25 days beforehand when one cannot is irresponsible and puts unprepared campers, and especially small children at risk at crucial holiday times.

  2. Paul says:

    Let’s get honest? Jesus Ken, how about admitting you’re wrong? From your blogpost, presumably also pulling snippets of info from your almanac…

    * December: This summer starts with a wet first week of December for all.
    Plenty of rain in Auckland, but ~1mm in Wellington, none in Christchurch, and ~5mm in Dunedin. Hardly a ‘wet first week for all’.

    * …the second and third weeks of December are mostly dry except for the west and south of the South Island.
    Almost the exact opposite of the your first statement, and, guess what, the exact opposite happened! Wellington, Christchurch and Dunedin all had more combined rainfall in the second and third weeks than the first week.

    * From 8-22 December may be the longest dry spell of the season particularly for the North Island and top of the South Island…
    It didn’t rain much around the top of the South Island, given, but it wasn’t what you’d call a ‘dry spell’ (it did still rain). Throw enough darts, I suppose…

    * Around the middle of December temperatures may soar to the 30s in places, a precursor of more intense heat to come.
    Hastings and Gisborne both reached 30C on the 21st, so, good call. But they also reached this temperature in the first week of December (and it was consistently hotter for the entire first of December in those locations) – why no mention of it there? And predicting that the occasional hot temperature at the start of Summer might be a precursor to hotter temperatures later in the season? What sort of ‘prediction’ is that? I bet it’ll be cold next winter, too.

    * Heavy rain comes just before Christmas for most of the South island but largely misses Canterbury…
    It rained in Canterbury for pretty much the the entire week leading up to Christmas Day, and then every day since, with the 25th and 28th seeing heavy downfalls.

    * …then in the North Island after 23 December for a handful of days, lasting over Xmas and Boxing Days, which may affect campers.
    Again, if you cast your net wide enough, you might get a hit. This is bang on. Congratulations!

    * (Allow 1-2 days error in all forecasting)
    So what possible use would this be for me in predicting my Christmas Day BBQ in Canterbury? Going by your forecast, I’d’ve been right as rain for a rain-free Christmas. It pissed down.

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